Mia Ristic vs Alexia Iulia Marginean Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Ristic's recent second serve points won stands at 37.82%, slightly lower than Marginean's 37.98%. Could this marginal difference hint at an edge for Marginean?
• In terms of returning, Marginean has excelled with 51.35% of opponent's second serves won, whereas Ristic is slightly behind with 48.86%.
• For first serve return points, both players show close effectiveness: Ristic at 35.98% and Marginean at 35.15%.
• When under pressure, Ristic demonstrates better breakpoint defense, saving 48.68% versus Marginean's 43.86%.
• Over the past year, Ristic has won 58.44% of his matches, narrowly outperforming Marginean's 55.26% win rate.
• Surface preference shows Ristic thrives most on Hard courts with a 68% win rate, while Marginean excels on Clay, winning 63% of matches.
• Both compete mostly in Challengers/ITF > $10K events, with Marginean slightly edging Ristic in win percentage at these levels: 60% to 58.57%.
• When evaluating opponent quality, Ristic has faced a stronger average rank of 338.83 compared to Marginean's 373.76.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Marginean shines with a 75% win rate, compared to Ristic's 50% success.
• Marginean has been more successful converting breakpoints, succeeding with 47.54% of his opportunities to break serve recently.

Editorial Prediction (June 29, 2025, UTC):

Both players demonstrate strong capabilities in different aspects of their gameplay, with Marginean showing a slight edge in situations such as second serve returns and breakpoint conversions. These factors could become pivotal in a tightly contested match.

Ristic's strong performance when defending breakpoints and his success on Hard courts should not be underestimated, especially if conditions favor his preferred surface.

Despite Ristic's minor advantages in certain areas, Marginean's superior record in deciding set situations and better performance against second serves highlight his potential to prevail.

Considering these comparative statistics, Marginean appears to have a slight upper hand and is the likely winner of this upcoming tennis match.